All signals
Fiscal · 04 Nov 2026 · CBO / appropriations calendar

Federal funding runs out December 11 — shutdown risk in lame duck

Budget fights, shutdown risk and agency politicization can slow licenses, grants, customs decisions and permits.

riskimmediateconf. 80%

1 · What happened — evidence

  • ▸CR expires Dec 11
  • ▸No omnibus framework agreed
  • ▸Agencies issuing contingency guidance

2 · Why it matters to us

3 federal permits and 1 DOE grant milestone fall within Dec–Feb.

Key question · Does it delay a permit, capex decision or customer project?

3 · Financial / operational impact

Shutdown of 4+ weeks: ~€6m cost from delayed customs and permits.

Route to
COOCROSupply Chain DirectorOperations & EnergyRisk & ComplianceSupply Chain

4 · Affected exposures

5 · Scenario effects

6 · Decisions & actions

Shutdown contingency: accelerate customs & permit filings
COO · due 01 Dec 2026 · In review
File early for 3 federal permits30%
Arrange bonded storage at Houston0%