All signals
Markets · 03 Nov 2026 · Market data / industry analysis

Midwest aluminium premium remains near record; PPI +48.5% since Feb 2025

US aluminium producer prices up 48.5% Feb 2025–Aug 2026; Midwest premium approached or exceeded $1/lb in early 2026.

bothimmediateconf. 90%

1 · What happened — evidence

  • ▸Midwest premium $0.82/lb (week 44)
  • ▸Domestic-vs-import spread widening
  • ▸Downstream buyers delaying orders

2 · Why it matters to us

Premium drives our pricing power vs domestic US producers and customer demand in automotive and construction.

Key question · Does this change our price?

3 · Financial / operational impact

Working capital tied in US inventory +€38m at current premium.

Route to
Sales DirectorCFOSales & MarketsRisk & Compliance

4 · Affected exposures

5 · Scenario effects

6 · Decisions & actions

Introduce tariff-adjustment clauses in 2027 US contracts
Sales Director · due 28 Nov 2026 · Pending
Draft tariff clause with Legal40%
Customer pass-through analysis top-25 accounts75%