All signals
Political structure · 04 Nov 2026 · AP / Reuters election results

Democrats win House and Senate; divided government confirmed

Democrats control both chambers while President Trump remains in office. Expect more investigations, policy noise and uneven implementation rather than a clean reset.

bothstrategicconf. 95%

1 · What happened — evidence

  • ▸Both chambers called by major networks Nov 4
  • ▸Committee chairs to change in January
  • ▸Veto power retained by White House

2 · Why it matters to us

Resets the probability of every US policy assumption in our 2027 budget, especially tariffs, energy and permits.

Key question · Does senior management need to engage?

3 · Financial / operational impact

Widens 2027 US EBIT range to −€71m / +€42m vs plan.

Route to
CEOCFOCROExecutiveRisk & ComplianceSales & Markets

4 · Affected exposures

5 · Scenario effects

6 · Decisions & actions

Adopt 4-scenario US planning frame for 2027 budget
CFO · due 20 Nov 2026 · In review
Build scenario P&L model for US BU60%
Brief board audit & risk committee0%